Juan Soto
How a player opt-out changes the Mets’ side of the value estimate.
Player case studies
Three examples of what drives the trade model’s estimates: Soto’s opt-out, McGonigle’s long projection horizon, and Judge’s remaining salary. Values use player data from July 31, 2026 and model version 2026-10-17.1.
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Kevin McGonigle
A high estimate built on many controlled seasons, including years beyond the published projection series.
Aaron Judge
A strong projection paired with a large remaining salary commitment.