The default model estimates $381.4M in surplus value from 2027 onward, with a sensitivity range of $302.4M to $460.5M. The range comes from model assumptions; it is not a measured trade-price interval.
The long horizon matters
The model counts 48.1 projected wins through 2034 and $150.0M in modeled salary over those years. Its estimate includes $110.2M from seasons after the 2031 projection anchor, about 29% of the total. Those later years come from an aging model, so the ranking depends heavily on how that extension holds up.
McGonigle’s modeled salary and long team control raise his estimate. The later projection years are a large source of uncertainty in that figure.
Open the trade builder to change the projection, contract, or model settings. Read what trade value measures.
Player database: 2026-10-18. Model version 2026-10-17.1. Public projections and contract sources are listed in Methods & data.