{
  "status": "scored",
  "source": "https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search/csv",
  "outcome_window": {
    "start": "2026-07-16",
    "end": "2026-09-27"
  },
  "observed_min_date": "2026-07-16",
  "observed_max_date": "2026-09-27",
  "outcome_pitches": 291004,
  "outcome_games": 985,
  "input_sha256": {
    "frozen_shape_forecast": "a665bdf96623952282271a146a2d74f82d6116c017305d2ffb1331c5e30d8514",
    "frozen_shape_protocol": "22a78c36badf361459dd1a7b724be9e974d48b390d2734f856ccf0dcea9c5757",
    "frozen_vargas_prediction": "d63918fa8ab038895bae7b2aa3a822767c94be12e24b39a9fe16f5ec12a5663d",
    "frozen_vargas_pre_pitch_data": "df53c5bdebb7bf1ac6e45aa2f4b6e23542cdb88b533188415753956c0382bb7b",
    "outcome_manifest": "cf20ab38e29aed9468f01521adca8718b277a7afa6dfd5062906b9f1637e68f2"
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  "shape": {
    "frozen_forecast_count": 387,
    "eligible_count": 284,
    "ineligible_count": 103,
    "metrics": {
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        "target_bf": 51937,
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      "shapecast": {
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      "rmse_improvement_pct": 1.2910788598440281
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    "pitcher_bootstrap": {
      "unit": "pitcher",
      "iterations": 10000,
      "seed": 20261018,
      "rmse_improvement_pct_interval_95": [
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    "by_frozen_role": {
      "reliever_like": {
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      },
      "starter_like": {
        "baseline": {
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          "target_bf": 37364,
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    "calibration_deciles": [
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        "decile": 1,
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        "predicted_kbb": 0.09968711985326043,
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      {
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        "actual_kbb": 0.2159831756046267
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      "n": 49,
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  "vargas": {
    "status": "insufficient_registered_target_pitches",
    "registered_threshold": 75,
    "pre_pitches": 1619,
    "pre_target_pitches": 25,
    "pre_target_share": 0.015441630636195183,
    "post_pitches": 1184,
    "post_target_pitches": 28,
    "post_target_share": 0.02364864864864865
  },
  "limitations": [
    "No audit-quality point-in-time ZiPS or Steamer comparison included.",
    "The Vargas region-coverage test has no frozen operational coverage grouping; no post-hoc grouping is scored."
  ]
}
